Bnamericas
Tuesday, July 25, 2023
Synopsis
Brazil's wind power capacity is expected to reach 29GW by the end of 2023 and 33GW by 2024. The challenge lies in increasing demand, which has been low due to migration to the free market and low prices. With excessive project numbers, energy transmission is also a concern. Brazil's high interest rate of 13.75% hampers progress. Rio Grande do Norte leads with 8GW installed capacity, followed by Bahia, Piauí, Ceará, Rio Grande do Sul, and Pernambuco. The top wind generation agents include Ômega Desenvolvimento de Energia and CPFL Energias Renováveis.
Brazil should end the year with 29GW and 2024 with 33GW of wind power installed capacity, an average growth of 4GW per year, the president of the local wind power association Abeeólica, Elbia Gannoum (pictured), tells BNamericas.
For the executive, the biggest challenge for the wind industry is the capacity to grow demand, which has been very low in recent years. "We've migrated to the free [non-regulated] market, which has been quite virtuous, but that growth has been falling as well," she says.
This is due to the reduction in demand itself, given the migration process already taking place, though the main factor is that the PLD (the free market price benchmark) is too low, which inhibits the signing of power purchase agreements (PPAs).
Energy transmission is another challenge, given the "gold rush" of distributed generation projects provoked by the end of the transmission system usage fee TUST, resulting in more projects than the system can absorb.
Another problematic issue is Brazil's interest rate, which stands at 13.75%, the highest among major economies.
"Thinking in a medium-term scenario, with interest reduction, this should improve our situation. But the central aspect is undoubtedly with regard to demand," Gannoum says.
OVERVIEW
Rio Grande do Norte is close to reaching 8GW of wind power installed capacity, the highest among all states in the country.
According to data from the local electricity watchdog Aneel, the northeastern state currently has 252 farms in operation, totaling 7.9GW. And considering projects already authorized but yet to come online, Rio Grande do Norte already has 8GW.
On July 21, the state gained a new wind farm, as Alupar Investimentos started the operation of the AW São João project, in the municipality of Jandaíra. It consists of six 4.2MW generating units, totaling an installed capacity of 25.2MW.
The state of Bahia ranks second, with 7.6GW, followed by Piauí (3,5GW), Ceará (2.6GW), Rio Grande do Sul (1.8GW), and Pernambuco (1GW), taking into account states with more than 1GW of potency in operation.
The national capacity stands at approximately 26GW, according to Aneel.
The top 10 wind generation agents are:
– Ômega Desenvolvimento de Energia (583MW);
– CPFL Energias Renováveis (314.6MW);
– Companhia Hidrelétrica do São Francisco (198MW);
– New Energy Options Geração de Energia (152MW);
– Ventos do Sul Energia (150MW);
– Eletrobras CGT Eletrosul (138MW);
– Central Eólica Jaú (99MW);
– Geradora Eólica Bons Ventos da Serra (86MW);
– Enel Green Power Delfina A Eólica (84MW);
– Ventos de São Fernando IV Energia (83MW).
Source: www.bnamericas.com
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